---
title: "How much will US democracy weaken under Trump? — By 2028"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-much-will-us-democracy-weaken-under-trump-by-2028
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-05-17T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 47822.22
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:33:56+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-much-will-us-democracy-weaken-under-trump-by-2028
---

# How much will US democracy weaken under Trump? — By 2028

Live · $47,822 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| below 7.00 | 28% | 30¢ on Kalshi | 30¢ |
| below 7.25 | 37% | 40¢ on Kalshi | 40¢ |
| below 7.50 | 59% | 62¢ on Kalshi | 62¢ |
| below 7.60 | 83% | 87¢ on Kalshi | 87¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/408?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-much-will-us-democracy-weaken-under-trump-by-2028.

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