---
title: "How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/how-strong-of-an-earthquake-will-occur-worldwide-before-oct-1-2026
status: ended
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 18554.29
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:15:23+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-strong-of-an-earthquake-will-occur-worldwide-before-oct-1-2026
---

# How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?

Ended · $18,554 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8+ | — | — | 1¢ |
| 6.9+ | — | — | 1¢ |
| 7.0+ | — | — | 3¢ |
| 7.1+ | — | — | 6¢ |
| 7.2+ | — | — | 80¢ |
| 7.3+ | — | — | 4¢ |
| 7.4+ | — | — | 1¢ |
| 7.5+ | — | — | 18¢ |
| 7.6+ | — | — | 10¢ |
| 7.7+ | — | — | 15¢ |
| 7.8+ | — | — | 11¢ |
| 7.9+ | — | — | 13¢ |
| 8.0+ | — | — | 9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/410526?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/how-strong-of-an-earthquake-will-occur-worldwide-before-oct-1-2026.

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