---
title: "Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 2029"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/howard-lutnick-out-as-commerce-secretary-before-jan-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:23:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/howard-lutnick-out-as-commerce-secretary-before-jan-2029
---

# Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 2029

Live · $1 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Howard Lutnick must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract shall settle on the initial vacation of the role.

For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | — | — | — |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | — | — | — |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | — | — | — |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/697891?via=md)

---

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