---
title: "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/iaea-visits-isfahan-fordow-or-natanz-nuclear-site-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 406349.53
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:36:02+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/iaea-visits-isfahan-fordow-or-natanz-nuclear-site-by
---

# IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

Live · $406,350 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. 

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. 

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1.2¢ on Polymarket | 1.2¢ |
| No | 99% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |

## Other markets

- July 31 — 2 outcomes
- August 31 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5627?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/iaea-visits-isfahan-fordow-or-natanz-nuclear-site-by.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.