---
title: "Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ilinca-amariei-vs-elsa-jacquemot
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-14T16:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-21T07:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-14T19:21:02+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2408178.26
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:58:02+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ilinca-amariei-vs-elsa-jacquemot
---

# Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-14 16:00 UTC · $2,408,178 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Elsa Jacquemot** won. Settled 2026-07-14.

## About

This market covers the Round of 32 clash between Elsa Jacquemot and Ilinca Amariei at the 2026 WTA Iasi Open (UniCredit Iasi Open), a WTA 250 clay-court event in Romania. The question is simply who advances — Jacquemot or Amariei — with both Kalshi framing it as a yes/no on an Amariei win and Polymarket offering a direct head-to-head pick.

The market has already priced in a near-certain outcome: Jacquemot is the overwhelming favourite at 99.0% on Kalshi and 99.9% on Polymarket, leaving Amariei at just 1.0%. That extreme skew reflects the fact that the match has already been played. Jacquemot, the 8th seed, defeated Amariei 6-4, 7-6 (7/5) on July 14. Amariei, ranked 585th in the world, was competing in her first WTA main-draw match as a qualifier. Jacquemot converted a match point on her serve to close out the win in 2 hours and 10 minutes, advancing to the Round of 16.

The tiny residual uncertainty — 1.0% on Kalshi — likely reflects the platform's standard settlement lag rather than any genuine doubt over the result. The cross-platform spread between Kalshi and Polymarket is effectively zero at 0.0 percentage points, and total volume across both platforms has reached over $1.3 million. Both platforms are fully aligned on the concluded outcome, with Jacquemot's advancement all but confirmed pending official resolution.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-17; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/29616?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/29549?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ilinca-amariei-vs-elsa-jacquemot.

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