---
title: "Inchauspe vs Erel"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/inchauspe-vs-erel
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-31T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-07T07:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-31T17:40:03+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2258690.32
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:03:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/inchauspe-vs-erel
---

# Inchauspe vs Erel

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-31 00:00 UTC · $2,258,690 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Paul Inchauspe** won. Settled 2026-07-31.

## About

This market covers the quarterfinal clash between Paul Inchauspe and Yankı Erel, a Turkish tennis player, seeded fourth in the 2026 ATP Challenger Samsun draw. The question is straightforward: will Erel or Inchauspe advance to the semifinal? On Kalshi, which hosts nearly all of the $1.3 million in volume, the market resolves "Yes" if Inchauspe wins and "No" otherwise. Polymarket frames it as a straight head-to-head pick between the two players.

Erel is the consensus favourite at 54.0%, with that probability consistent across both Kalshi and Polymarket — meaning no cross-platform spread exists on his outcome. Inchauspe shows a modest 2.0-point spread, priced at 48.0% on Kalshi versus 46.0% on Polymarket, suggesting a slight edge for anyone shopping his side. The seeding context helps explain the lean toward Erel: he entered the quarterfinal having won his round-of-16 match 6-4, 6-4, a comfortable straight-sets result. Inchauspe, meanwhile, advanced in a tighter three-set affair, 1-6, 7-6(4), 6-0, showing both resilience and some vulnerability. Erel won the 2018 Wimbledon Boys' doubles title, hinting at pedigree, though the markets reflect only a slim edge — hardly a foregone conclusion. Both platforms agree that this is a competitive match, and the near-even split signals genuine uncertainty, with Erel's seeding and smoother path through the draw providing just enough weight to make him the narrow favourite across the board.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-31; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Completed Match — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/143255?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/133955?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/inchauspe-vs-erel.

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