---
title: "Indiana vs Phoenix"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/indiana-vs-phoenix
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-09T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-10T04:34:33+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-10T04:24:32+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7845472.85
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Basketball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:40:01+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/indiana-vs-phoenix
---

# Indiana vs Phoenix

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-09 00:00 UTC · $7,845,473 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Indiana** won. Settled 2026-07-10.

## About

This is a WNBA matchup between the Indiana Fever and Phoenix Mercury on July 9, 2026. Records show Indiana at 11-8 and Phoenix at 8-13, which explains why Indiana is favored. Let me write the description.

The Indiana Fever host — or visit — the Phoenix Mercury in a WNBA regular-season game tipping off July 9, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Both listings resolve on the final score including overtime; if the game is cancelled with no make-up, Polymarket resolves 50-50, while Kalshi frames the market as a Yes/No on a Phoenix win.

Indiana enters as the clear favourite. Kalshi prices the Fever at 62.0%, while Polymarket's "Indiana Fever" line sits at 61.0% — a tight 1.0-point consensus gap between venues. On the other side, Phoenix trades at 49.0% on Kalshi versus 51.0% on Polymarket, a 2.0-point cross-platform spread that hints at slightly richer Mercury pricing on Polymarket. Volume is modest ($6,721 on Kalshi, $1,387 on Polymarket), so small tickets can move quotes.

The form guide supports Indiana's edge: the Fever come in at 11-8 while Phoenix sits at 8-13. In their most recent meeting, Indiana snapped a two-game skid behind a Monique Billings double-double, while Kahleah Copper's 20 points and Alyssa Thomas's 19-point, nine-assist line weren't enough for Phoenix (then 5-12). Caitlin Clark's form has also been notable, with the most consecutive 20-point, five-assist games in WNBA history at six. Across venues, the markets broadly agree Indiana is a roughly 61–62% favourite, with only marginal disagreement on how steep the Mercury discount should be.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-08; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total — 9 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 173.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread — 9 outcomes
- Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 19.5 — 2 outcomes
- Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 17.5 — 2 outcomes
- Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.5 — 2 outcomes
- DeWanna Bonner: Points O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Lexie Hull: Points O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- DeWanna Bonner: Rebounds O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Lexie Hull: Rebounds O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Kelsey Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Tyasha Harris: Assists O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 174.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 172.5 — 2 outcomes
- First Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- Lexie Hull: Points O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Points — 17 outcomes
- Rebounds — 12 outcomes
- Total O/U 171.5 — 2 outcomes
- Threes — 6 outcomes
- Assists — 3 outcomes
- 4th Quarter Winner — 3 outcomes
- 3rd Quarter Winner — 3 outcomes
- 2nd Quarter Winner — 3 outcomes
- 1st Quarter Winner — 3 outcomes
- First Half Spread — 3 outcomes
- Second Half Total — 7 outcomes
- 1st Quarter Total — 7 outcomes
- 1st Quarter Spread — 7 outcomes
- 4th Quarter Spread — 7 outcomes
- … and 7 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/10873?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/10952?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/indiana-vs-phoenix.

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