---
title: "Insurrection Act invoked by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/insurrection-act-invoked-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1138684.11
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:59:11+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/insurrection-act-invoked-by
---

# Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Live · $1,138,684 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11% | 11¢ on Polymarket | 11¢ |
| No | 90% | 90¢ on Polymarket | 90¢ |

## Other markets

- January 31 — 2 outcomes
- March 31 — 2 outcomes
- April 30 — 2 outcomes
- June 30 — 2 outcomes
- July 31 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5065?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/insurrection-act-invoked-by.

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