---
title: "Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/iran-charges-hormuz-fees-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3520026.52
venues: ["Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:00:08+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/iran-charges-hormuz-fees-by
---

# Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Live · $3,520,027 traded · listed on Limitless, Polymarket

## About

This market asks whether Iran will officially announce and begin collecting mandatory fees, tolls or similar charges on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz by a series of specified deadlines. To resolve "Yes" for a given cut-off, the policy must apply generally to all commercial vessels or a defined subcategory, and payment must be effectively required for passage. Isolated one-off demands do not qualify. The event is listed on Polymarket, which carries essentially all the $3.06M in volume, with Limitless posting the date-bucket outcomes.

Across deadlines, "No" is the clear favourite. The nearest tier resolves "No" at a consensus 97.6% on Polymarket, with later cut-offs still leaning heavily against action at 89.0% and 75.0%. Correspondingly, the "Yes" legs price at just 2.5%, 11.0% and 25.0% as the horizon extends. On the Limitless date ladder, December 31 leads the "if it happens" scenarios at 25.1%, followed by October 31 at 11.0% and September 30 at 2.4%.

Cross-platform pricing is tightly aligned, with 0.00-point spreads on every canonical outcome where both venues quote. The takeaway: Polymarket and Limitless both view Iran imposing formal Hormuz transit fees as unlikely in the near term, with only the longest deadline drawing meaningful probability.

_AI-written summary written 2026-09-21; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- July 15 — 2 outcomes
- July 31 — 2 outcomes
- August 31 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes
- October 31 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/580305?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5213?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/iran-charges-hormuz-fees-by.

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