---
title: "Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/iran-commits-not-to-attack-ships-in-hormuz-by-sunday
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-12T23:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-13T10:13:11+00:00
total_volume_usd: 335945.98
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-05T00:54:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/iran-commits-not-to-attack-ships-in-hormuz-by-sunday
---

# Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?

Settled · $335,946 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**No** won. Settled 2026-07-13.

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Iranian government, or an authorized representative of the Iranian government, publicly and officially announces a commitment not to attack ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, between market creation and July 12, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Iran’s present or future policy not to attack ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz.

A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify a commitment not to attack ships transiting the Strait. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe such a policy, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy not to attack ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz is clearly and unambiguously communicated.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.

The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the Iranian government;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that Iran will make such an announcement; 
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; and 
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional policy rather than announcing a present and decided position.

Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether a the policy is ever actually implemented.

Resolution will be based on official information from the Iranian government, including the Iranian military, and its authorized representatives.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/20278?via=md)

---

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