---
title: "Iran Nuke before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/iran-nuke-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1377381.49
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:53:24+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/iran-nuke-before-2027
---

# Iran Nuke before 2027?

Live · $1,377,381 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 3.9¢ on Polymarket | 3.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5066?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/iran-nuke-before-2027.

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