---
title: "Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/israel-election-any-coalition-wins-a-majority
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-28T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3488.33
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T16:14:39+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/israel-election-any-coalition-wins-a-majority
---

# Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

Live · $3,488 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of 61 seats or more in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election: (a) The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu; or (b) Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 82% | 85¢ on Polymarket | 85¢ |
| Yes | 18% | 21¢ on Polymarket | 21¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/748640?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/israel-election-any-coalition-wins-a-majority.

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