---
title: "Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4068138.36
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:56:56+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by
---

# Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Live · $4,068,138 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 9% | 9¢ on Polymarket | — |
| October 31 | — | — | — |
| November 30 | — | — | — |
| November 7 | — | — | — |
| March 31 | — | — | — |
| June 30 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4939?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by.

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