---
title: "Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-polymarket-597c33ad
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 9624.7
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:43:22+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-polymarket-597c33ad
---

# Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Live · $9,625 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.

Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 15

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 6.9¢ on Polymarket | 6.9¢ |
| No | 95% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |

## Other markets

- October 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/595885?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-polymarket-597c33ad.

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