---
title: "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-31T20:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 458236
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:10:54+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by
---

# Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Live · $458,236 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13% | 16¢ on Polymarket | 16¢ |
| No | 87% | 90¢ on Polymarket | 90¢ |

## Other markets

- May 31 — 2 outcomes
- June 7 — 2 outcomes
- June 30 — 2 outcomes
- July 31 — 2 outcomes
- August 31 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/150069?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by.

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