---
title: "Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — On Oct 27, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/israeli-parliamentary-election-2nd-place-on-oct-27-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-27T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 18773.76
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:15:13+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/israeli-parliamentary-election-2nd-place-on-oct-27-2026
---

# Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — On Oct 27, 2026

Live · $18,774 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method:
For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order.

Rank is based on Knesset seats, not national vote share, using the Central Elections Committee's final certified result rather than preliminary counts.
A party or list awarded no seats cannot place 2nd.
Joint candidate lists count as single entities. Their seats are not credited separately to constituent parties. A newly formed joint list is a separate entity; a name change alone does not change a party or list's identity. Seats of separate lists are not combined for surplus-vote agreements or post-election coalitions.
If no listed party or list finishes or ties for 2nd place, every market on this event resolves NO.

In case of an exact tie for 2nd place among multiple parties as certified by the election authority, the markets shall resolve to $1/(number of tied entities) rounded down.

Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yashar | 49% | 56¢ on Kalshi | 56¢ | — |
| Likud | 41% | 45¢ on Kalshi | 45¢ | — |
| Together | — | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ | — |
| Shas | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ | — |
| The Democrats | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | — |
| United Torah Judaism | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | — |
| Otzma Yehudit | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | — |
| Yisrael Beiteinu | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| A Place for All of Us | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| Blue and White | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| Haredi Public | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| Israel First | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| New Economic Party | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| Ra'am | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| Religious Zionist Party | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| Unity | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| Zehut | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| Zionist Home–The Reservists | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| RZP-Zehut | — | — | — | — |
| Joint List | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | — |
| People of Israel | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| Noam for Israel | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| The Reservists and the Economic Party | — | — | — | — |
| Party A | — | — | — | — |
| Party B | — | — | — | — |
| Party C | — | — | — | — |
| Party D | — | — | — | — |
| Party E | — | — | — | — |
| Party F | — | — | — | — |
| Party G | — | — | — | — |
| Party H | — | — | — | — |
| Party I | — | — | — | — |
| Party J | — | — | — | — |
| Party K | — | — | — | — |
| Party L | — | — | — | — |
| Party M | — | — | — | — |
| Party N | — | — | — | — |
| Party O | — | — | — | — |
| Party P | — | — | — | — |
| Party Q | — | — | — | — |
| Party R | — | — | — | — |
| Party S | — | — | — | — |
| Party T | — | — | — | — |
| Party U | — | — | — | — |
| Party V | — | — | — | — |
| Party W | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/385164?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/693530?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/israeli-parliamentary-election-2nd-place-on-oct-27-2026.

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