---
title: "Kalyakina vs Tikhonova"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/kalyakina-vs-tikhonova
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-11T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-11T11:08:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-11T10:40:06+00:00
total_volume_usd: 290537.57
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:20:42+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/kalyakina-vs-tikhonova
---

# Kalyakina vs Tikhonova

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-11 00:00 UTC · $290,538 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi

## Result

**Alina Tikhonova** won. Settled 2026-07-11.

## About

This market covers the 2026 W15 Luan semifinal between Maria Kalyakina and Alina Tikhonova, a lower-tier ITF women's tennis match. Kalshi's headline market resolves Yes if Kalyakina wins after a ball has been played, with walkovers or pre-match cancellations settling at $0.50. Azuro lists the same head-to-head alongside a wider slate of game-total, handicap, and odd/even side markets.

Tikhonova is the clear favourite on the moneyline. Kalshi implies a 64.0% chance she takes the match, while Azuro prices her slightly higher at 67.6%. Kalyakina sits at 39.0% on Kalshi and 40.5% on Azuro — the small overround on both books reflects normal bookmaker margin rather than a genuine edge. Azuro's derivative markets are consistent with a Tikhonova-leaning favourite, pricing her -1.5 games at 47.9% and a Kalyakina +1.5 handicap at 59.2%.

The cross-platform spread on the primary outcome is modest: about 3.6 points separate Kalshi and Azuro on Tikhonova, and 1.5 points on Kalyakina, with Kalshi offering the cheaper entry on the favourite. Overall, both venues agree Tikhonova is favoured by roughly a 60/40 margin, with Azuro pricing her marginally more confidently than Kalshi.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 19 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -4 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 19.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Winner — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -2 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 3 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/19753?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/20307?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/kalyakina-vs-tikhonova.

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