---
title: "Kansas City vs Baltimore"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/kansas-city-vs-baltimore-kalshi-a5733ec8
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-12T17:35:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-19T17:35:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-12T20:11:33+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3957909.12
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-05T00:13:45+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/kansas-city-vs-baltimore-kalshi-a5733ec8
---

# Kansas City vs Baltimore

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-12 17:35 UTC · $3,957,909 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Baltimore Orioles** won. Settled 2026-07-12.

## About

The market covers the MLB regular-season game between the Kansas City Royals and the Baltimore Orioles, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. On Kalshi, the market resolves Yes if Kansas City wins, with provisions for postponement or cancellation. Azuro lists the same fixture as a three-way market that also allows for a draw, which is uncommon in baseball but reflects the platform's standard soccer-style outcome structure.

Baltimore is the favourite across both venues. Kalshi implies a 56.0% probability for the Orioles, while Azuro prices Baltimore slightly higher at 58.8%. Kansas City sits at 46.0% on Kalshi and 42.7% on Azuro, with Azuro also assigning 11.9% to a draw. The Kalshi figures notably sum above 100%, indicating some vig or overround in the quoted prices.

Volume is thin — roughly $764 on Kalshi and no recorded activity on Azuro — so pricing may not reflect deep conviction. Across platforms, Baltimore is favoured by a modest 12- to 16-point margin over Kansas City, and the two venues broadly agree on the Orioles as the edge team in this matchup.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- Home Runs — 8 outcomes
- Total Bases — 20 outcomes
- Hits — 16 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 14 outcomes
- RBIs — 9 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 20 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 2 outcomes
- Adley Rutschman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- Adley Rutschman: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 33 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/22505?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/16455?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/23199?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/kansas-city-vs-baltimore-kalshi-a5733ec8).

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