---
title: "Kansas City vs New York M"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/kansas-city-vs-new-york-m
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-09T17:10:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-16T17:10:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-09T20:07:48+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6006586.92
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:42:04+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/kansas-city-vs-new-york-m
---

# Kansas City vs New York M

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-09 17:10 UTC · $6,006,587 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**New York Mets** won. Settled 2026-07-09.

## About

The market centers on the July 9, 2026 MLB matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the New York Mets, with the moneyline resolving to whichever team wins the game outright. Kalshi, Polymarket, and Azuro all list the head-to-head, while Kalshi additionally offers a deep menu of derivative markets covering the run spread, total runs, and inning-by-inning outcomes.

The Mets are the modest favourite on the moneyline, priced at 58.0% on Kalshi, 57.5% on Polymarket, and 56.2% on Azuro — a tight 0.5-point spread across venues that implies roughly a 57–58% win probability. The Royals sit at 43.0% on Kalshi, 42.5% on Polymarket, and 43.7% on Azuro, with Azuro also pricing a 12.6% draw due to its three-way format. On the totals side, Kalshi's ladder implies a run environment centered around 8.5–9.5 runs, with Over 8.5 at 57.0% and Over 9.5 at 46.0%. Spread markets show the Mets favoured to win by more than 1.5 runs at 41.0%, while a Kansas City win by 1.5+ sits at 33.0%.

Volume is thin at roughly $5.8K total, with Kalshi's moneyline ($2,751) leading activity. The takeaway: all three platforms agree New York is a slight favourite, and the sub-one-point cross-platform spread leaves little disagreement on the game's shape.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-09; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 14 outcomes
- Home Runs — 6 outcomes
- Total Bases — 15 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 15 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- Hits — 11 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 3 outcomes
- RBIs — 9 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/9287?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/3717?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/13813?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/kansas-city-vs-new-york-m.

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