---
title: "KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/kc-chiefs-vs-lv-raiders-kalshi-66bbe61b
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-04T20:25:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-29T22:17:55+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-04T23:45:23+00:00
total_volume_usd: 86081967.18
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "American Football"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-11T09:11:33+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/kc-chiefs-vs-lv-raiders-kalshi-66bbe61b
---

# KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-04 20:25 UTC · $86,081,967 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Kansas City Chiefs** won. Settled 2026-10-04.

## About

This matchup between two 3-0 AFC West rivals is live, with the Kansas City Chiefs facing the Las Vegas Raiders in a Week 4 showdown that kicked off at 4:25PM ET. Each contract resolves based on which team wins outright, with a separate draw market for a tie. In-game, the Chiefs and Raiders traded early touchdowns, with Patrick Mahomes finding Tyquan Thornton and Kirk Cousins connecting with Ian Thomas, reflecting the closely matched 3-0 records both teams carry into the contest.

Across platforms, the Raiders sit as the narrow favorite with a consensus implied probability of 50.5%, just ahead of the Chiefs at 49.0%, while a draw is priced separately at 13.7% on Azuro. Pricing varies meaningfully by venue: Novig shows the Raiders slightly favored at a 51.8% midpoint, Kalshi and Polymarket both have the matchup essentially even near 50.5%/48.5-49.5%, and Gemini stands out as an outlier, pricing the Chiefs higher at a 55.0% midpoint versus 45.0% for the Raiders. This produces a cross-platform spread of 6.75 points on both outcomes, a non-trivial gap for a game already underway. Pregame context underscores the tightness of this matchup: entering the contest, the Chiefs and Raiders were both 3-0 heading into a big AFC West game, with the Raiders' strong start adding intrigue to a historically lopsided rivalry.

Overall, the market reflects a genuine coin-flip game between two undefeated division rivals, with Gemini diverging notably from the near-even consensus seen on Kalshi, Polymarket, and Novig.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-04; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 41.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 45.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 39.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 42.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 43.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 52.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 54.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 56.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 60.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 62.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 24.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 26.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 28.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 30.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 32.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 34.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 36.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 38.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 40.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 44.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 46.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 48.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 50.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 58.5 — 4 outcomes
- Kansas City Chiefs over 0.5 total field goals — 2 outcomes
- Kansas City Chiefs scores first — 2 outcomes
- Kansas City Chiefs first to 14 points — 2 outcomes
- Las Vegas Raiders scores the first touchdown — 2 outcomes
- Kansas City Chiefs over 350.5 total offensive yards — 2 outcomes
- Las Vegas Raiders over 350.5 total offensive yards — 2 outcomes
- Kansas City Chiefs wins 2nd half (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Las Vegas Raiders first to 14 points — 2 outcomes
- Las Vegas Raiders scores first — 2 outcomes
- Las Vegas Raiders wins 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- Kansas City Chiefs wins 3rd quarter — 2 outcomes
- Las Vegas Raiders wins 4th quarter — 2 outcomes
- Las Vegas Raiders wins 3rd quarter — 2 outcomes
- Las Vegas Raiders over 0.5 total field goals — 2 outcomes
- Las Vegas Raiders over 1.5 total field goals — 2 outcomes
- … and 1384 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/714719?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/652292?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/591786?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/621949?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/344015?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/575478?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/kc-chiefs-vs-lv-raiders-kalshi-66bbe61b.

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