---
title: "Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/keiichiro-nakamura-vs-ollie-schmid
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-11-08T00:20:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-08T12:20:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 26618.41
venues: ["Gemini", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "MMA"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:55:01+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/keiichiro-nakamura-vs-ollie-schmid
---

# Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid

Live · kickoff 2026-11-08 00:20 UTC · $26,618 traded · listed on Gemini, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

This market will resolve to "Keiichiro Nakamura" if Keiichiro Nakamura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ollie Schmid at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026.

It will resolve to "Ollie Schmid" if Ollie Schmid is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Moneyline

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Gemini | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keiichiro Nakamura | 77% | 77¢ on Polymarket | 77¢ | 78¢ | 77¢ | 77¢ |
| Ollie Schmid | 24% | 24¢ on Polymarket | 25¢ | 24¢ | 24¢ | 24¢ |

## Other markets

- Fight to Go the Distance? — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Nakamura to win by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Schmid to win by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by submission? — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by decision? — 2 outcomes
- Ends before Round 2? — 2 outcomes
- Ends before Round 3? — 2 outcomes
- Nakamura in Round 1 — 2 outcomes
- Nakamura in Round 2 — 2 outcomes
- Nakamura in Round 3 — 2 outcomes
- Schmid in Round 1 — 2 outcomes
- Schmid in Round 2 — 2 outcomes
- Schmid in Round 3 — 2 outcomes
- Decision or Draw — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1104961?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1063840?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/982287?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/983000?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/keiichiro-nakamura-vs-ollie-schmid).

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