---
title: "Ksenia Smirnova vs Polina Leykina"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ksenia-smirnova-vs-polina-leykina
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-11T07:30:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-18T07:30:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-11T14:14:28+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3411.41
venues: ["Azuro", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:18:41+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ksenia-smirnova-vs-polina-leykina
---

# Ksenia Smirnova vs Polina Leykina

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-11 07:30 UTC · $3,411 traded · listed on Azuro, Polymarket

## Result

**Polina Leykina** won. Settled 2026-07-11.

## About

This market covers an ITF Women's Hillcrest first-round tennis match between Ksenia Smirnova and Polina Leykina, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026. On Polymarket, the moneyline resolves to whichever player advances; a walkover or complete cancellation resolves 50-50, while a mid-match retirement resolves to the player who advances. The event is also listed on Azuro with a broader ladder of handicap, totals and odd/even side markets, though Azuro currently shows no recorded volume against Polymarket's roughly $409 traded.

Leykina is the favourite on the head-to-head line, priced at 60.5% on Polymarket versus Smirnova's 39.5%, while Azuro leans slightly further in her direction at 64.5% to 42.2%. On game totals, both books favour the under: Polymarket has Under 2.5 sets at 60.0% against Azuro's 68.5%, and Polymarket's separate total-games Under sits at 64.0%. Azuro's handicap ladder is consistent with a Leykina edge, pricing Polina -1.5 around 43.5–60.6% and Smirnova +1.5 as high as 63.3%.

Across both venues, the pricing tells the same story: Leykina is a moderate favourite in a match expected to stay short, with Azuro marginally more confident in that view than Polymarket.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 21 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 4 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1 — 2 outcomes
- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 2 — 2 outcomes
- ITF Hillcrest: Ksenia Smirnova vs Polina Leykina Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 3 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- ITF Hillcrest: Ksenia Smirnova vs Polina Leykina Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 3 outcomes
- Handicap 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 19.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/20074?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/21110?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ksenia-smirnova-vs-polina-leykina.

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