---
title: "Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate? — On Nov 3, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/larger-margin-of-victory-georgia-or-north-carolina-senate-on-nov-3-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 19425.3
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:20:19+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/larger-margin-of-victory-georgia-or-north-carolina-senate-on-nov-3-2026
---

# Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate? — On Nov 3, 2026

Live · $19,425 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

For instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.

The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Senate | 50% | 52¢ on Kalshi | 52¢ |
| North Carolina Senate | 46% | 48¢ on Kalshi | 48¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293531?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/larger-margin-of-victory-georgia-or-north-carolina-senate-on-nov-3-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.