---
title: "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 126665.4
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:06:28+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo
---

# Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Live · $126,665 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 84% | 79¢ on Polymarket | 87¢ | 79¢ |
| Goldman Sachs | 13% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ | 15¢ |
| JPMorgan | 0.4% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.5¢ |
| Bank of America | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Citigroup | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Barclays | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.1¢ |
| UBS | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.1¢ |
| Deutsche Bank | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.1¢ |
| Wells Fargo | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.1¢ |
| No Listed Underwriter | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292916?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5873?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/lead-bank-in-anthropics-ipo.

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