---
title: "Lecornu out as French PM by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-11T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 360311.43
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:11:25+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by
---

# Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Live · $360,311 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | 20¢ on Polymarket | 20¢ |
| No | 89% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |

## Other markets

- December 31, 2025 — 2 outcomes
- June 30, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- July 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- August 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- September 30, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- October 31 — 2 outcomes
- November 30 — 2 outcomes
- December 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5240?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by.

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