---
title: "Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 11116.39
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:35:49+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026
---

# Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?

Live · $11,116 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 5.6¢ on Polymarket | 5.6¢ |

## Other markets

- December 31, 2027 — 2 outcomes
- June 30, 2027 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/140862?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/leopold-aschenbrenner-charged-in-2026.

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