---
title: "Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election
status: ended
trading_closes_at: 2026-09-28T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 23490.16
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:14:11+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election
---

# Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?

Ended · $23,490 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

Delisted by every venue without a result — this event will not resolve.

## About

The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats. The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.

This market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Les Républicains as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.

The seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).

A group will qualify as the Groupe Les Républicains if it satisfies at least one of the following:
- Its official name includes "Les Républicains" or a clear variant thereof;
- Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or
- It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Les Républicains, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.

A group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above. If the group merges with one or more other groups, this market will resolve according to the total membership of the merged group, provided the merged group meets at least one of the criteria above.

If no group qualifies, or group composition is not officially published, as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The administrative meeting of senators not appearing on the list of any group (RASNAG) will not qualify as a group for the purposes of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be publications of the French Senate (senat.fr) and the Official Journal of France, and a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| <117 | — | — | 5.1¢ |
| 117-120 | — | — | 6¢ |
| 121-124 | — | — | 93¢ |
| 125-128 | — | — | 24¢ |
| 129-132 | — | — | 6.8¢ |
| 133-136 | — | — | 2.9¢ |
| 137+ | — | — | 2.6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/290679?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/les-republicains-seat-count-after-french-senate-election.

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