---
title: "LG Twins vs Samsung Lions"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/lg-twins-vs-samsung-lions
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-08T09:30:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-15T09:30:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-08T13:08:19+00:00
total_volume_usd: 328035.79
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:11:07+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/lg-twins-vs-samsung-lions
---

# LG Twins vs Samsung Lions

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-08 09:30 UTC · $328,036 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**LG Twins** won. Settled 2026-07-08.

## About

The market covers a Korea Baseball Organization (KBO) matchup between the LG Twins and Samsung Lions, with contracts spanning the Jul 8 and Jul 9 games in the series. Beyond the straight moneyline, Kalshi lists a full slate of totals, run-line spreads, and first-inning run props, though liquidity is thin — the moneyline on the Jul 8 game accounts for almost all of the $575.89 in volume.

On the headline question of who wins, the two sides are essentially pick'em. LG Twins sits at 51.0% on both Kalshi and Azuro, while Samsung Lions prints 50.0% on Kalshi and 50.2% on Azuro, with Azuro also pricing a Draw at 11.9%. The cross-platform spread is effectively zero, so there is no meaningful arbitrage signal between books. LG is the nominal favourite by roughly one point — the thinnest possible edge and well within noise for a KBO regular-season game.

The derivatives markets tell a more confident story about scoring than about the winner. For the Jul 8 game, Kalshi has Over 5.5 runs at 94.0%, Over 7.5 at 92.0%, and Over 9.5 at 63.0%, with a first-inning run priced at 62.0%. Run-line markets lean slightly toward LG, with LG by more than 1.5 at 41.0% versus Samsung by more than 1.5 at 38.0%. The takeaway across platforms is a genuine coin-flip on the winner, paired with strong conviction that the bats will show up.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-08; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 0 outcomes
- Spread — 0 outcomes
- First Inning Run? — 0 outcomes
- Total Runs — 4 outcomes
- Spread — 4 outcomes
- First Inning Run? — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/9701?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/3895?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/11200?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/lg-twins-vs-samsung-lions.

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