---
title: "Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4917.14
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:10:25+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-in-2026
---

# Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Live · $4,917 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 91% | 96¢ on Polymarket | 96¢ |
| Yes | 9% | 14¢ on Polymarket | 14¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7121?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-in-2026.

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