---
title: "Los Angeles A vs Minnesota"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/los-angeles-a-vs-minnesota-kalshi-0d7fb5f6
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-11T18:10:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-18T18:10:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-11T21:11:12+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7266617.48
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T19:52:37+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/los-angeles-a-vs-minnesota-kalshi-0d7fb5f6
---

# Los Angeles A vs Minnesota

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-11 18:10 UTC · $7,266,617 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Minnesota Twins** won. Settled 2026-07-11.

## About

This MLB game markets ask whether the Minnesota Twins will defeat the Los Angeles Angels in their July 11 afternoon contest at Target Field in Minneapolis. On the moneyline, a Minnesota win resolves that market to "Yes" on Kalshi and to "Minnesota Twins" on Polymarket; an Angels win resolves the opposite. Prop markets cover totals, first-inning spreads, and individual player performance for both starters and key position players.

Minnesota is the clear favourite across all platforms, priced at 63.0% on Kalshi and 61.5% on Polymarket, with Azuro a touch softer at 57.8% — a modest 1.5-point cross-platform spread on the moneyline. The Angels sit at 38.0%–38.5% on Kalshi and Polymarket, with Azuro again the outlier at 43.7%. The run-line markets reinforce Minnesota's edge: Kalshi prices a Twins win by more than 1.5 runs at 45.0% and by more than 3.5 runs at 27.0%. The totals market leans heavily toward a high-scoring game, with over 3.5 combined runs priced at 93.0% on Kalshi.

The pitching matchup explains much of the gap. Minnesota sends Joe Ryan (6-5, 2.85 ERA) to the mound, while Los Angeles counters with Ryan Johnson (1-4, 6.99 ERA). The underlying records add context: Los Angeles enters at 38-57, fifth in the AL West, while Minnesota stands at 46-49, third in the AL Central. The Twins have gone 7-3 over their last ten games, while the Angels have dropped eight of their last ten. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, consensus pricing on the winner market sits within a tight 1.5-point band, signalling strong inter-platform agreement on Minnesota as a comfortable but not overwhelming favourite.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 16 outcomes
- Home Runs — 4 outcomes
- Hits — 7 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Total Bases — 76 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 75 outcomes
- RBIs — 39 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 18 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/18399?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/13261?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/18669?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/los-angeles-a-vs-minnesota-kalshi-0d7fb5f6.

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