---
title: "Los Angeles A vs Minnesota"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/los-angeles-a-vs-minnesota-kalshi-7231b109
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-12T18:10:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-19T18:10:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-12T21:12:57+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3442506.08
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T20:32:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/los-angeles-a-vs-minnesota-kalshi-7231b109
---

# Los Angeles A vs Minnesota

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-12 18:10 UTC · $3,442,506 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Minnesota Twins** won. Settled 2026-07-12.

## About

This market covers the MLB regular-season matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and the Minnesota Twins, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET. On both Polymarket and Kalshi, the contract resolves to the winning team, with provisions to remain open through short postponements and to void or pay out fairly if the game is cancelled outright.

The Twins are the favourite across both venues. Polymarket implies a 59.5% chance of a Minnesota win against 40.5% for the Angels, while Kalshi has Minnesota at 59.0% and Los Angeles at 42.0%. That gives Minnesota an edge of roughly 17 to 19 percentage points, a clear but not overwhelming favourite consistent with a mid-season home-side lean. Kalshi's paired Yes/No contract on a Los Angeles win (59.0% No, 41.0% Yes) lines up closely with the same read.

Cross-platform pricing is remarkably tight: the Twins sit within half a point across Polymarket and Kalshi, and the Angels within 1.5 points, with no meaningful arbitrage gap. Liquidity is heavier on Polymarket ($27,915) while traded volume so far is concentrated on Kalshi ($3,300). The takeaway is a consensus market with Minnesota favoured near 59% and virtually no disagreement between the two venues.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 17 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 10 outcomes
- Home Runs — 4 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Hits — 6 outcomes
- Total Bases — 9 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- RBIs — 5 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Los Angeles Angels — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Minnesota Twins — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Draw — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/22225?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/16865?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/21165?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/los-angeles-a-vs-minnesota-kalshi-7231b109.

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