---
title: "Los Angeles D vs New York Y"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/los-angeles-d-vs-new-york-y
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-17T23:05:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-24T23:05:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-18T01:59:47+00:00
total_volume_usd: 13006991.3
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-10T20:02:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/los-angeles-d-vs-new-york-y
---

# Los Angeles D vs New York Y

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-17 23:05 UTC · $13,006,991 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Los Angeles Dodgers** won. Settled 2026-07-18.

## About

This is the opener of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium pitting two of baseball's marquee franchises against each other. The moneyline market resolves simply — a Los Angeles Dodgers win pays "Yes" on Kalshi and "Los Angeles Dodgers" on Polymarket; a Yankees win pays the other side. Both Kalshi and Polymarket list the Dodgers as a narrow favourite at 52.0%, with the Yankees close behind at 49.0% on Kalshi and 49.0% on Polymarket — effectively a coin-flip, with no meaningful cross-platform spread between the two.

This is the first game of a three-game series as the Bronx Bombers (54-42) host the Dodgers (61-36), who enter the second half with the best record in baseball and a commanding lead in the NL West. The razor-thin market edge for Los Angeles is partly tempered by starting pitcher concerns: Roki Sasaki struggled badly over his final five starts before the All-Star break, surrendering 22 earned runs across 23 innings and entering Friday with a 5.33 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Meanwhile, Sasaki's loud-contact issues are seen as a bad fit against a Yankees lineup that wins through lift and power, while Gerrit Cole gives New York a perceived pitching edge. The Yankees are also without the services of MVP Aaron Judge.

The total-runs market leans heavily toward a high-scoring affair — Kalshi prices over 3.5 combined runs at 95.0% and over 8.5 at 57.0%, consistent with the warm conditions and temperatures above 80°F at first pitch with a slight breeze toward left-center field. Both Kalshi and Polymarket agree almost perfectly on every outcome, with zero cross-platform spread on the moneyline, signalling a well-arbitraged, efficiently priced matchup heading into first pitch.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-17; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- First 5 Innings Winner: Los Angeles Dodgers — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Andy Pages: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Bases — 20 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 14 outcomes
- Hits — 15 outcomes
- Home Runs — 9 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- RBIs — 11 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 20 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 18 outcomes
- Trent Grisham: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Trent Grisham: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Ryan McMahon: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Ryan McMahon: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Gerrit Cole: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Gerrit Cole: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Gerrit Cole: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Kyle Tucker: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Kyle Tucker: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Teoscar Hernández: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Teoscar Hernández: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Dalton Rushing: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 26 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/33943?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/34955?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/los-angeles-d-vs-new-york-y.

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