---
title: "Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? — On Nov 3, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/los-angeles-mayoral-election-margin-of-victory-on-nov-3-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 56110.98
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:40:54+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/los-angeles-mayoral-election-margin-of-victory-on-nov-3-2026
---

# Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? — On Nov 3, 2026

Live · $56,111 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karen Bass, 0-2% | — | — | — |
| Nithya Raman, 0-2% | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Karen Bass, 2-4% | — | — | — |
| Nithya Raman, 2-4% | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Karen Bass, 4-6% | — | — | — |
| Nithya Raman, 4-6% | 4% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Karen Bass, 6-8% | — | — | — |
| Nithya Raman, 6-8% | 21% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| Karen Bass, 8-10% | — | — | — |
| Nithya Raman, 8-10% | 68% | 83¢ on Kalshi | 83¢ |
| Karen Bass, 10-12% | — | — | — |
| Nithya Raman, 10-12% | 14% | 24¢ on Kalshi | 24¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 12-14% | — | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Karen Bass, ≥12% | — | — | — |
| Nithya Raman, 14-16% | 5% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 16-18% | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Nithya Raman, ≥18% | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1057654?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/los-angeles-mayoral-election-margin-of-victory-on-nov-3-2026).

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