---
title: "Lucas Brennan vs Austin Bashi"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/lucas-brennan-vs-austin-bashi
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-11-07T22:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-08T04:59:59+00:00
total_volume_usd: 491.15
venues: ["Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "MMA"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-30T18:19:22+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/lucas-brennan-vs-austin-bashi
---

# Lucas Brennan vs Austin Bashi

Live · kickoff 2026-11-07 22:00 UTC · $491 traded · listed on Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

This market will resolve to "Lucas Brennan" if Lucas Brennan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Austin Bashi at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026.

It will resolve to "Austin Bashi" if Austin Bashi is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Moneyline

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Bashi | 54% | 51¢ on Polymarket | 51¢ | 58¢ |
| Lucas Brennan | 46% | 43¢ on Polymarket US | 50¢ | 43¢ |

## Other markets

- Fight to Go the Distance? — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Brennan to win by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Bashi to win by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by submission? — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by decision? — 2 outcomes
- Ends before Round 2? — 2 outcomes
- Ends before Round 3? — 2 outcomes
- Brennan in Round 1 — 2 outcomes
- Brennan in Round 2 — 2 outcomes
- Brennan in Round 3 — 2 outcomes
- Bashi in Round 1 — 2 outcomes
- Bashi in Round 2 — 2 outcomes
- Bashi in Round 3 — 2 outcomes
- Decision or Draw — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/982286?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/983003?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/lucas-brennan-vs-austin-bashi).

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.