---
title: "Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 20131.81
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:09:24+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027
---

# Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Live · $20,132 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |
| Yes | 2% | 1.9¢ on Polymarket | 1.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6472?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027.

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