---
title: "M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026 — December 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/m2-money-supply-growth-at-year-end-2026-december-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2027-01-26T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-26T17:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1175.42
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:14:23+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/m2-money-supply-growth-at-year-end-2026-december-2026
---

# M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026 — December 2026

Live · kickoff 2027-01-26 00:00 UTC · $1,175 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

For purposes of this market, “M2 money-supply growth” means the year-over-year percent change in the seasonally adjusted M2 money stock for December 2026, calculated using FRED series M2SL.

The year-over-year percent change will be calculated as follows: December 2026 M2SL divided by December 2025 M2SL, minus one, expressed as a percentage and rounded to one decimal place.

This market will use the first value published by FRED for December 2026. Revisions released after the first publication of the December 2026 value will not be considered.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 5.0% | 18% | 22¢ on Kalshi | 22¢ |
| 5.0% to 5.4% | 18% | 22¢ on Kalshi | 22¢ |
| 5.5% to 5.9% | — | — | — |
| 6.0% to 6.4% | — | — | — |
| 6.5% or Above | 24% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/10705?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/m2-money-supply-growth-at-year-end-2026-december-2026.

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