---
title: "MA-04 House election: Tom Stalcup vote percent"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ma-04-house-election-tom-stalcup-vote-percent
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4175.52
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T16:16:22+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ma-04-house-election-tom-stalcup-vote-percent
---

# MA-04 House election: Tom Stalcup vote percent

Live · $4,176 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Tom Stalcup ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 26% | — | — | — |
| At least 28% | — | — | — |
| At least 30% | — | — | — |
| At least 32% | — | — | — |
| At least 34% | 44% | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ |
| At least 36% | 24% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| At least 38% | — | — | — |
| At least 40% | — | — | — |
| At least 42% | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/513140?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ma-04-house-election-tom-stalcup-vote-percent.

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