---
title: "Macron out by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/macron-out-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2165470.25
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:56:27+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/macron-out-by
---

# Macron out by...?

Live · $2,165,470 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 5.9¢ on Polymarket | 5.9¢ |
| No | 95% | 96¢ on Polymarket | 96¢ |

## Other markets

- October 31, 2025 — 2 outcomes
- December 31, 2025 — 2 outcomes
- June 30, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- July 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/312180?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/macron-out-by.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.