---
title: "Major CEX insolvent in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 136135.35
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:52:44+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026
---

# Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Live · $136,135 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. 

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 3% | 3.9¢ on Polymarket | 3.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5472?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.