---
title: "Mannarino vs Carreno Busta"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/mannarino-vs-carreno-busta
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-09-29T02:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-13T02:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-29T07:24:59+00:00
total_volume_usd: 877951.44
venues: ["Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:45:11+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/mannarino-vs-carreno-busta
---

# Mannarino vs Carreno Busta

Settled · kickoff 2026-09-29 02:00 UTC · $877,951 traded · listed on Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket US

## Result

**Pablo Carreno Busta** won. Settled 2026-09-29.

## About

The following market refers to the Mannarino vs Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Set 1 Winner — 4 outcomes
- Total Games — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Exact Match Score — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Pablo Carreno Busta by over 1.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Pablo Carreno Busta −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Adrian Mannarino −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Adrian Mannarino −7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Adrian Mannarino −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Pablo Carreno Busta −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Busta wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- Over 2.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Adrian Mannarino by over 1.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Mannarino wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 27.5 — 2 outcomes
- Busta wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Mannarino wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Pablo Carreno Busta −7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 17.5 — 2 outcomes
- Game Spread — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 18.5 — 2 outcomes
- Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/650624?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/650675?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/650598?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/mannarino-vs-carreno-busta.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.