---
title: "Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/manned-starship-mission-to-mars-before-2030
status: live
kickoff_at: 2029-12-31T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2030-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 53504.92
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:37:47+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/manned-starship-mission-to-mars-before-2030
---

# Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?

Live · kickoff 2029-12-31 00:00 UTC · $53,505 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If SpaceX launches a manned Starship mission to Mars by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 88% | 89¢ on Kalshi | 89¢ |
| Yes | 13% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/291?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/manned-starship-mission-to-mars-before-2030.

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