---
title: "Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/marcellus-formation-natural-gas-production-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-03-31T15:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 37170.66
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:09:56+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/marcellus-formation-natural-gas-production-in-2026
---

# Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026

Live · $37,171 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The Underlying is EIA’s Marcellus formation dry natural gas production series. Monthly average production rates will be converted into monthly volumes using the number of calendar days in each month and summed across January–December 2026. Production from the broader Appalachia region or Utica formation will not be included. EIA publishes the relevant shale-production series through its STEO data products.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 9.00 Tcf | 98% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Above 9.25 Tcf | 97% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Above 9.50 Tcf | 89% | 89¢ on Kalshi | 89¢ |
| Above 9.75 Tcf | 60% | 60¢ on Kalshi | 60¢ |
| Above 10.00 Tcf | 16% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Above 10.25 Tcf | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/330060?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/marcellus-formation-natural-gas-production-in-2026.

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