---
title: "Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/merck-moderna-mergeracquisition-announced-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 703.42
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:45:33+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/merck-moderna-mergeracquisition-announced-in-2026
---

# Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

Live · $703 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Merck & Co. (MRK) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Moderna (MRNA), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both MRK and MRNA or their subsidiaries.

An announcement by MRK or MRNA within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify.

Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company. A "controlling interest" refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from MRK and MRNA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 6.9¢ on Polymarket | 6.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/290468?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/merck-moderna-mergeracquisition-announced-in-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.