---
title: "MI-07 Democratic primary margin of victory? — On Aug 4, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/mi-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-on-aug-4-2026
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-25T00:10:01+00:00
settled_at: 2026-08-25T00:10:01+00:00
total_volume_usd: 41526.04
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-25T18:33:21+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/mi-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-on-aug-4-2026
---

# MI-07 Democratic primary margin of victory? — On Aug 4, 2026

Settled · $41,526 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Result

Voided — no outcome won. Settled 2026-08-25.

## About

The margin of victory is the vote share received by William Lawrence minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind William Lawrence if William Lawrence wins, or the candidate that finishes first if William Lawrence loses. If William Lawrence wins, the margin will be positive; if William Lawrence loses, the margin will be negative; if William Lawrence ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If William Lawrence runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/166391?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/mi-07-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-on-aug-4-2026.

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