---
title: "Michigan: Benson's margin vs. El-Sayed's margin? — On Nov 3, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/michigan-bensons-margin-vs-el-sayeds-margin-on-nov-3-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-12-01T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-01T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 21184.14
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T05:30:16+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/michigan-bensons-margin-vs-el-sayeds-margin-on-nov-3-2026
---

# Michigan: Benson's margin vs. El-Sayed's margin? — On Nov 3, 2026

Live · kickoff 2026-12-01 00:00 UTC · $21,184 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benson by 0-3 | — | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ |
| El-Sayed by 0-3 | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Benson by 3-6 | 72% | 72¢ on Kalshi | 72¢ |
| El-Sayed by 3+ | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Benson by 6-9 | — | 48¢ on Kalshi | 48¢ |
| Benson by 9-12 | — | 45¢ on Kalshi | 45¢ |
| Benson by 12-15 | — | 69¢ on Kalshi | 69¢ |
| Benson by 15+ | — | 50¢ on Kalshi | 50¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/843780?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/michigan-bensons-margin-vs-el-sayeds-margin-on-nov-3-2026).

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