---
title: "Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? — Before 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/miguel-diaz-canel-departure-announced-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 205756.36
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:19:51+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/miguel-diaz-canel-departure-announced-before-2027
---

# Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? — Before 2027

Live · $205,756 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.

Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba. For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before December 1, 2026 | 14% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Before November 1, 2026 | 6% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Before September 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before August 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before July 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before June 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before May 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before October 1, 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2385?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/miguel-diaz-canel-departure-announced-before-2027.

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