---
title: "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/miguel-diaz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2259121.16
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:19:51+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/miguel-diaz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by
---

# Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Live · $2,259,121 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11% | 11¢ on Polymarket | 11¢ |
| No | 90% | 90¢ on Polymarket | 90¢ |

## Other markets

- March 31 — 2 outcomes
- June 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/312181?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/miguel-diaz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by.

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