---
title: "Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/milwaukee-vs-pittsburgh-kalshi-d1065bac
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-12T16:15:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-19T16:15:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-12T19:24:29+00:00
total_volume_usd: 11164949.01
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:04:32+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/milwaukee-vs-pittsburgh-kalshi-d1065bac
---

# Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-12 16:15 UTC · $11,164,949 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Pittsburgh Pirates** won. Settled 2026-07-12.

## About

This market covers the MLB regular-season game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET. Each side of the market pays out based on which team wins the game, with both Kalshi and Polymarket applying standard handling for postponements; Polymarket additionally resolves 50-50 in the event of a tie or full cancellation, while Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game is moved more than two days out.

Milwaukee is the modest favourite across both venues. Kalshi prices the Brewers at 55.0% with Pittsburgh at 47.0%, while Polymarket has Milwaukee at 53.5% and Pittsburgh at 46.5%. That works out to a roughly 6-to-8 point edge for Milwaukee — a lean rather than a strong conviction, consistent with a competitive divisional matchup. Polymarket also lists a related Yes/No contract trading at 48.5%/51.5%.

Cross-platform pricing is tight: Milwaukee's implied probability differs by only 1.5 points between Kalshi (55.0%) and Polymarket (53.5%), and Pittsburgh's by 0.5 points. Liquidity is heavier on Polymarket ($19,415) despite lower traded volume, while Kalshi has attracted more actual turnover. The takeaway is a consensus view of Milwaukee as a slight favourite, with negligible disagreement between platforms.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 10 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 8 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Robert Gasser: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Bases — 66 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 17 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 85 outcomes
- Home Runs — 32 outcomes
- Hits — 55 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jared Triolo: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jared Triolo: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- RBIs — 35 outcomes
- Spread -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 13.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 14.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 48 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/16224?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/21329?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/milwaukee-vs-pittsburgh-kalshi-d1065bac.

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