---
title: "Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/milwaukee-vs-pittsburgh
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-10T22:40:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-17T22:40:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-11T18:59:45+00:00
total_volume_usd: 17331006.94
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:59:35+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/milwaukee-vs-pittsburgh
---

# Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-10 22:40 UTC · $17,331,007 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Pittsburgh Pirates** won. Settled 2026-07-11.

## About

This market covers the MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates originally scheduled for July 10 at PNC Park. On Polymarket, it resolves to the winning team; Kalshi hosts an extensive array of companion markets including moneyline, first-5-innings winner, run totals, spread, and individual player performance props for hitters like Brandon Lowe and pitcher Brandon Sproat. The July 10 game was postponed due to rain and rescheduled as part of a Saturday doubleheader, which explains why markets remain open past the original start date, consistent with both platforms' postponement rules.

On the moneyline, the Milwaukee Brewers are the clear favourite at 69.0% on Kalshi, though Polymarket is notably more cautious at 60.0% — a 9-point cross-platform spread that stands as the widest divergence in the dataset. The Pittsburgh Pirates sit at 44.5% on Polymarket and just 33.0% on Kalshi for the opposing outcome. The gap in Kalshi's moneyline pricing reflects a meaningful difference in how the two platforms are weighing the matchup. The Brewers carry the best record in the NL Central at 59-34, while Pittsburgh is sitting at exactly .500 at 47-47 and had dropped two straight heading into the series. Pittsburgh's All-Star Braxton Ashcraft faces Milwaukee rookie Brandon Sproat, adding pitching intrigue to the contest. Kalshi's first-5-innings market leans Pittsburgh at 83.0%, consistent with the pitching edge Ashcraft holds over Sproat. Run-total markets show high confidence in a scoring game, with over 8.5 combined runs priced above 71.0% on Kalshi.

The cross-platform moneyline spread of 9.0 points between Kalshi and Polymarket is the single most notable structural feature of this event, suggesting the two books have materially different assessments of Milwaukee's edge after the postponement shuffle.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 14 outcomes
- Total Bases — 62 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 17 outcomes
- RBIs — 34 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 85 outcomes
- Home Runs — 28 outcomes
- Hits — 55 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 13.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 14.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/10348?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/17342?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/milwaukee-vs-pittsburgh.

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