---
title: "Milwaukee vs San Diego"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/milwaukee-vs-san-diego-kalshi-d3a0d2ce
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-07T01:30:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-14T01:30:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-07T05:05:24+00:00
total_volume_usd: 43417527.62
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-12T09:06:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/milwaukee-vs-san-diego-kalshi-d3a0d2ce
---

# Milwaukee vs San Diego

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-07 01:30 UTC · $43,417,528 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**San Diego Padres** won. Settled 2026-10-07.

## About

This market covers Game 3 of the NLDS between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres, with the Milwaukee Brewers looking to finish off a sweep of the San Diego Padres in the NLDS after wins in Games 1 and 2. Each contract resolves to the team that wins Tuesday night's game at Petco Park, where the Padres return to Petco Park still seeking their first win of the series, with the Brewers up 2-0 after back-to-back home victories.

Across the platforms tracked, the Brewers hold a narrow consensus edge at 50.7% to the Padres' 49.5%, with Gemini showing the widest gap in Milwaukee's favor (52.5%) while Kalshi has it essentially even at 49.5% apiece. The cross-platform spread is tight — just 3.0 points on the Brewers side and 1.0 point on the Padres side — reflecting a genuine coin-flip game despite Milwaukee's series lead. This near-even pricing lines up with the on-field matchup: in Game 3, the Brewers start right-hander Dustin May (7-9, 4.70 ERA), while the Padres send out right-hander Nick Pivetta (3-2, 2.86 ERA), with a 1.64 ERA in his five starts since returning from an elbow injury, giving San Diego a pitching-matchup argument even as the betting markets lean slightly Brewers.

Notably, live action has already begun shifting sentiment — Padres 1, Brewers 0 Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a soft grounder to shortstop, but that's enough to score Taylor, who was running on contact, and give San Diego the lead, an early development that could explain any softening in Milwaukee's implied probability since the snapshot. Overall, despite Milwaukee's 2-0 series lead, bettors across platforms see Game 3 as close to a pick'em, with no single venue showing a decisive favorite.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-07; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Spread: San Diego Padres −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra innings? — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- Dustin May: 1+ Strikeouts — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Jackson Chourio: 1+ Home Runs — 2 outcomes
- Nick Pivetta: 2+ Strikeouts — 2 outcomes
- Nick Pivetta: 3+ Strikeouts — 2 outcomes
- Nick Pivetta: 4+ Strikeouts — 2 outcomes
- Nick Pivetta: 5+ Strikeouts — 2 outcomes
- Nick Pivetta: 6+ Strikeouts — 2 outcomes
- Nick Pivetta: 7+ Strikeouts — 2 outcomes
- Nick Pivetta: 8+ Strikeouts — 2 outcomes
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ Hits — 2 outcomes
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Manny Machado: 1+ Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+ Total Bases — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Spread: San Diego Padres −1.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 9th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 7th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 8th inning — 2 outcomes
- San Diego Padres to have Over 2.5 runs — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 5th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 4th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 6th inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 1st inning — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- San Diego Padres to have Over 3.5 runs — 2 outcomes
- Over 1.5 total runs in 1st inning — 2 outcomes
- Over 1.5 total runs in 2nd inning — 2 outcomes
- Over 1.5 total runs in 3rd inning — 2 outcomes
- … and 535 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/738887?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/695530?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/686086?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/720648?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/679019?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/698211?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/milwaukee-vs-san-diego-kalshi-d3a0d2ce.

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